La Liga(Spain)
Athletic Club vs Alaves
· Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura
Corners market
Combined expectation: 11 corners
Over 8.5
Medium77%@1.30
Over 9.5
CornersO9.566%Fair odds 1.52
Over 10.5
Medium54%@1.85
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO8.577%Fair odds 1.30
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO10.554%Fair odds 1.85
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.6x · Expected: 2.71
Over 3.5
Low29%@3.47
Over 4.5
CardsO4.514%Fair odds 7.22
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.575%Fair odds 1.33
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.551%Fair odds 1.97
Goals market
Expected: 0.64 goals
Over 1.5
Low14%@7.40
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.53%Fair odds 36.63
Both teams to score
Low6%@16.26
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.