EnglandPremier League(England)Highlight · Cards

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

· Referee: Andy Madley

Corners market

Combined expectation: 8.83 corners

Over 8.5
Medium52%@1.92
Over 9.5
CornersO9.539%Fair odds 2.56
Over 10.5
Low27%@3.65
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line

Cards market

Referee factor: 1.84x · Expected: 7.67

Over 3.5
High95%@1.06
Over 4.5
CardsO4.588%Fair odds 1.14
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line

Goals market

Expected: 0.38 goals

Over 1.5
Low6%@17.76
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.51%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low2%@47.17
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line

@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.

How accurate are we? See the public track record