Premier League(England)
Aston Villa vs Manchester City
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.55 corners
Over 8.5
Low48%@2.07
Over 9.5
CornersO9.535%Fair odds 2.83
Over 10.5
Low24%@4.13
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.585%Fair odds 1.17
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.562%Fair odds 1.61
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 3.6
Over 3.5
Low48%@2.06
Over 4.5
CardsO4.529%Fair odds 3.41
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.587%Fair odds 1.14
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.570%Fair odds 1.43
Goals market
Expected: 2 goals
Over 1.5
Medium59%@1.68
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.532%Fair odds 3.09
Both teams to score
Low22%@4.45
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.586%Fair odds 1.16
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.559%Fair odds 1.68
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
