Premier League(England)
Aston Villa vs Arsenal
· Referee: Jarred Gillett
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.5 corners
Over 8.5
Low48%@2.10
Over 9.5
CornersO9.535%Fair odds 2.88
Over 10.5
Low24%@4.23
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.97x · Expected: 4.85
Over 3.5
Medium71%@1.40
Over 4.5
CardsO4.553%Fair odds 1.88
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 0.31 goals
Over 1.5
Low4%@25.51
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low2%@48.31
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.