Premier League(England)
Arsenal vs Leeds
· Referee: Not announced
Corners market
Combined expectation: 8.18 corners
Over 8.5
Low43%@2.31
Over 9.5
CornersO9.531%Fair odds 3.27
Over 10.5
Low20%@4.94
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO5.582%Fair odds 1.21
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO7.557%Fair odds 1.75
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.7
Over 3.5
Medium69%@1.45
Over 4.5
CardsO4.551%Fair odds 1.98
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.585%Fair odds 1.18
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO4.551%Fair odds 1.98
Goals market
Expected: 2.27 goals
Over 1.5
Medium66%@1.51
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.540%Fair odds 2.53
Both teams to score
Low38%@2.61
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityGoalsO0.590%Fair odds 1.12
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO1.566%Fair odds 1.51
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
