Premier League(England)
Arsenal vs Chelsea
· Referee: C. Kavanagh
Corners market
Combined expectation: 10.67 corners
Over 8.5
Medium74%@1.36
Over 9.5
CornersO9.562%Fair odds 1.61
Over 10.5
Medium50%@2.00
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 5.66
Over 3.5
High82%@1.23
Over 4.5
CardsO4.567%Fair odds 1.50
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
Goals market
Expected: 0.96 goals
Over 1.5
Low25%@4.01
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.57%Fair odds 13.68
Both teams to score
Low4%@24.51
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.
