La Liga(Spain)
Alaves vs Valencia
· Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Corners market
Combined expectation: 9.1 corners
Over 8.5
Medium56%@1.79
Over 9.5
CornersO9.543%Fair odds 2.35
Over 10.5
Low31%@3.27
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCornersO6.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO8.556%Fair odds 1.79
Cards market
Referee factor: 1x · Expected: 4.3
Over 3.5
Medium62%@1.61
Over 4.5
CardsO4.543%Fair odds 2.33
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO2.580%Fair odds 1.25
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO3.562%Fair odds 1.61
Goals market
Expected: 1.36 goals
Over 1.5
Low39%@2.54
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.516%Fair odds 6.37
Both teams to score
Low4%@25.51
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointGoalsO0.574%Fair odds 1.35
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.