Serie A(Italy)
AC Milan vs Lecce
· Referee: Federico La Penna
Corners market
Combined expectation: 7.37 corners
Over 8.5
Low32%@3.12
Over 9.5
CornersO9.521%Fair odds 4.79
Over 10.5
Low13%@7.89
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCornersO6.560%Fair odds 1.66
Cards market
Referee factor: 0.87x · Expected: 2.83
Over 3.5
Low31%@3.18
Over 4.5
CardsO4.516%Fair odds 6.37
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityCardsO1.577%Fair odds 1.29
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointCardsO2.554%Fair odds 1.86
Goals market
Expected: 0.11 goals
Over 1.5
Low1%@100+
Over 2.5
GoalsO2.50%Fair odds 100+
Both teams to score
Low0%
Safe lineHighest line with at least 75% probabilityNo line
Fair lineHighest line still above 50%: the match's balance pointNo line
@ = fair decimal odds: 1 ÷ our probability, with no bookmaker margin. A bookmaker price above it suggests value; below it, the market is priced tighter than our model.